Tuesday, October 27, 2015

On the Dole: The Effects of Economic Recession on Employment (part 1 of 2)


There is a lot of talk about economic recession nowadays.  People are complaining how economic recession is making their lives worse. The economic recession often refers to the two quarters of negative economic growth.  A severe recession which lasts for more than two years, becomes a depression.

A recession is characterised by rising unemployment, increase in government borrowing, decrease of share and stock prices, and falling investment.  All of these characteristics have effects on people.

People have a general understanding of the recessions’ negative effects. But how does an ordinary consumer get affected by a recession, employment in  particular is not really clear.

John Schmitt and Dean Baker released a new report on the possible impact of the recession on What We’re In For, Projected Economic Impact of the Next Recession  this year.  In their report, the 2008 recession in United States is perceived to raise the national employment rate between  2.1 and 3.8 percentage points.  This would be an equivalent of  between 3.2 million and 5.8 million unemployed Americans.  CalculatedRisk stated, based on this report and United States’ recession history, that economic downturn can be measured in how high the unemployed number of people rises.

Based from the United States recession history, there had been a handful of times when the unemployment rate has risen during an expansion.  Unemployment had risen by 0.5 percent or and there were instances that it is less.  But this scenarios happen when the country is not under any economic downfall.  When the unemployment percentage reaches 0.6 percent, the economy is described to be under a recession.  This year, the U.S. unemployment rate is nearly 1.1 percent.

No comments:

Post a Comment